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CASHFLOW ANALYSIS
Understanding Cash Flow
To be competitive, small business owners must plan and prepare
for all future events and market changes. Possibly the most important
aspect of preparation is effective cash-flow planning. Failure
to properly plan cash flow is one of the leading causes for small
business failures in the United States. Experience has shown
that many small business owners lack a general understanding
of accounting principles. For this reason, a few of the basic
principles will be covered. There also are self-instructional
guides from which you can obtain a better understanding of accounting.
The Basics
Cash in business serves several purposes.
First, it is used for meeting normal cash obligations (i.e.,
paying bills). Second,
it is held as a precautionary measure for unanticipated problems.
Third, it is held for potential investment purposes. The term "cash" refers
to:
- Cash
- Checks
- Checking Accounts
The Operating Cycle
The operating cycle can be defined as the
system through which cash flows, from the purchase of inventory
through the collection
of accounts receivable. It measures the flow of assets into cash
and is, in effect, a "business stopwatch." For example,
the operating cycle may begin with both cash and inventory on
hand. Additional inventory is purchased on account to work as
a cushion for future sales to guarantee that you will not deplete
your stock. Except for cash sales, when some of your inventory
is sold, accounts receivable increase, but your cash doesn't.
Typically, you pay for the inventory you have purchased thirty
days after it is received. When the payment for inventory is
made, both cash and accounts payable are reduced. Thirty days
after the sale of inventory, receivables are usually collected,
which increases cash. Now your cash has completed its flow through
the operating cycle and is ready to begin again.
Current Assets
Cash and other balance sheet items which convert into cash within
twelve months are referred to as current assets. Typical current
assets are:
- Cash
- Marketable Securities
- Receivables
- Pre-Paid Expenses
A Plan is Necessary
Cash-flow analysis shows whether your daily operations have
generated enough cash to meet your obligations, and it shows
how major outflows relate to major inflows. As a result, you
can tell if inflows and outflows from your operation combine
to result in a positive cash-flow from operations or in a net
drain. Any significant changes over time will also appear. Understanding
this will lead to better control of cash-flows and will allow
adequate time to plan and prepare for the growth of your business.
It is best to have enough cash on hand each month to pay the
cash obligations of the following month. A monthly cash-flow
projection helps to project funds and compare actual figures
to past months. It is important to project your monthly cash-flow
to identify and eliminate deficiencies or surpluses in cash.
When cash-flow deficiencies are found, business financial plans
must be altered to provide more cash. When excess cash is revealed,
it might indicate excessive orrowing or idle money that could
be invested. The objective is to develop a plan which will provide
a well-balanced cash flow.
Planning a Positive Cash Flow
To achieve a positive cash flow, you must have a sound plan.
Cash reserves can be increased by:
- Collection of receivables
- Tightened credit requirements
- Price of products
- Loans
- Increased sales
Collection of Receivables
Actively manage accounts receivable and quickly collect overdue
accounts. Revenues are lost when a firm's collection policies
are not aggressive. The longer your customer's balance remains
unpaid, the less likely it is that you will receive full payment.
Tightened Credit Requirements
As credit and terms are tightened, more customers must pay cash
for their purchases, thereby increasing the cash on hand and
reducing the bad debt expense. While tightening credit is helpful
in the short run, it may not be advantageous in the long run.
Looser credit allows more customers the opportunity to purchase
your products or services. But, be certain that the increase
in sales is greater than the increase in bad-debt expenses.
Pricing of Products
The primary goal of business is to make a profit. Many small
businesses fail to do so because they do not know how to price
their products or services. Pricing is the critical element in
achieving a profit as well as in maintaining positive cash flow,
and is a factor all firms can control.
Before setting your prices, you must understand your product's
market, distribution costs, and competition. Remember, the marketplace
responds rapidly to technological advances and international
competition. You must keep abreast of the factors that affect
pricing and be ready to adjust.
Loans
Loans from various financial institutions are often necessary
for covering short-term cash-flow problems. Revolving credit
lines and equity loans are common types of credit used in this
situation.
Increased Sales
Increased sales would appear to increase
cash flow, but be careful. For many companies, a large portion
of sales are purchased on
credit. Therefore, when sales increase, accounts receivable increases,
not cash. Collection of receivables is usually 30 days after
the purchase date, and sales expenses are most often incurred
befor e receivables are collected. When sales rise, inventory
is depleted and must be replaced. Because receivables have not
yet been collected, a substantial increase in sales can quickly
deplete a firm's cash reserves. Again, by using a computer, you
can maintain this critical data, as well as speed the time required
to consider the "what if" concept.
Cash Reserve
You should always keep enough cash, as an added cushion for
security, on hand to cover expenses. But, it is unwise to keep
more money on hand than is necessary to cover your obligations.
Excess cash should be invested in an accessible, interest bearing,
low-risk account, such as a savings account, short-term CD or
T-bill. Keeping excess cash on hand reduces both the growth and
the return on investment.
Projections
Good accounting records and projections are important tools
for a small business. Qualified accountants are necessary to
help keep your records accurate and current. However, you can
reduce your accounting expenses by producing your own summary
statistics and projections.
Using A Personal Computer
With a personal computer, your business
can have the added advantage of quick cash-flow projections
as well as many other useful financial
planning tools. A good financial-management package and computer
will enable you to review projected inflows and outflows of cash
from month- to-month or year-to-year. By analyzing these projections
you can see the fluctuations in cash flow and create management
policies to avoid potential shortfalls. There are numerous computer
programs for making projections and keepingrecords and many advantages
to having a personal computer for your business. The capabilities
of modern computers are almost unlimited-- they can aid in nearly
every situation, from basic bookkeeping and "what if" analysis
to inventory control or market demand projections. While a computer
is not a specific requirement to success for a small business,
it is a business tool which in the future will separate the competitive
from the mediocre.
How to Get More Information
SBA has a number of programs and services available. They include
training and educational programs, advisory services, publications,
financial programs, and contract assistance. Our offices are located
throughout the country. For the one nearest you consult the telephone
directory under U.S. Government or call the Small Business Answer
Desk
at 1-800-U-ASK-SBA. A free copy of The Small Business Directory
of
publications may be requested from your local SBA office or the
Answer
Desk. Other helpful sources include:
- State Economic Development
Agencies
- Chambers of Commerce
- Colleges and Universities
- Public Libraries
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